There are a lot of theories about ISIS, including one that their acronym stands for “Israeli Secret Intelligence Service,” and right now, in the aftermath of the destruction of the classical ruins of Palmyra, it is hard to be anything less than virulent in one’s hatred of them.
But those interested in peace, realpolitik, and European nationalism should steel themselves to look beyond the brutalities and shock tactics of these trolls of Middle Eastern politics to take in the bigger picture.
Rather than having our knees jerked by all this, and thereby supporting calls for more intervention from the West or other parties (Russia, Turkey, or Iran), we should instead be looking calmly towards our best interests, which, I believe, will be served by the victory of ISIS in Syria.
The crisis in Syria – along with that in Libya – is the main driver of the Camp-of-the-Saints-style exodus that is now driving millions of non-Europeans into Europe with disastrous effects for European social cohesion.
From some points of view, this has certain benefits for European nationalists because we are likely to see Euro Nationalist parties polling better. But, unless we see a true European Nationalist revolution growing out of this, this will still be too high a price to pay for what we are likely to gain from this, namely a few more tame nationalist politicians, like Marine Le Pen or Geert Wilders, pontificating in the Euro parliaments and cucking for Israel.
Europe – in its present, post-Christian, moral-signalling, hedonistic, mildly selfish, and indulgently tolerant, humanist frame of mind – is poorly equipped to deal with a flood of refugees waving the occasional sweet little Syrian girl at the cameras. Because of this it is in our interests to see the anarchic situations in Syria and Libya resolved ASAP and at almost any cost.
It is now relatively clear that President Assad cannot win in Syria. This was also the judgement of his own father, Hafez al-Assad, who originally chose his tougher and brighter brother to succeed him in the leadership of the fragile Syrian Baathist regime, which was in reality a disguised coalition of the country’s nervous non-Sunni minorities.
After the father’s first choice died in a car crash in 1994, Bashar was called back from being an eye doctor in London, and awkwardly groomed for the role of Syrian strongman, a role he has never filled convincingly.
The real problem in Syria is that Assad, as an Alawite, can only really count on the organic support of a minority of the population – fellow Alawites and a few other nervous minorities.
The Syrian Baathist regime, with its emphasis on a soft-focus, de-sectarian Arab identity, has always been a strategy by this minority to rule ethnically and tribally without being perceived as too ethnic and tribal by other Syrians. But the looser Arab identity this was premised on has never really existed at the micro level, and following the father’s brutal suppression of Sunni movements in the 1990s and the present Arab-Spring-generated civil war, this has now completely broken down. The country’s majority Sunni Arab population, over 74% of the population, is completely alienated from the regime and it is this group that is providing ISIS with its base.
Even if – by some miracle – Russia, Iran, and the West could come together in an interventionist coalition, Assad could not be saved. At best, he could be preserved in the small coastal strip between Turkey and Lebanon, where Alawites are the majority.
So, eventually Assad and his Alawite phony-Baathist regime will be swept away. Right now support from Russia and Iran, along with a desultory and half-hearted “humanitarian” bombing campaign by NATO, is staving off this inevitable result. But as long as this situation is unresolved, Syria will continue to exist as an engine of European genocide through mass migration.
An ISIS victory, by imposing strong tyrannical rule and a brutal peace, would immediately stabilize this dangerous demographic threat to Europe. Also, once established in power, we could expect an ISIS regime to rapidly pivot towards the center as the radicalism of the battlefield was replaced by the corruptions of secure power and its various relations with its supporters, such as Turkey and the Gulf States (and, yes, even Israel).
Of course, an ISIS victory in Syria might reinvigorate the conflict already underway in Iraq, but that is happening anyway, and that conflict can only really be resolved by the Northern Sunni Arab areas splitting from the Southern Shiite areas, something that ISIS has largely achieved and something which we should also support in the interests of the long-term stability of a region that is at present an engine of European genocide.
I have nothing but hatred for ISIS as a manifestation, but we would be naive not to see it as having a certain logic among the people, culture, and geopolitical milieu in which it has arisen. Our main concern, however, should be to prevent this milieu from spreading to our own lands through the mass immigration of its people, armed with the licence of chaos. Because the West has fatally undermined other options for controlling these lands, ISIS is our only option. May Allah grant them the limited victory they need to put a lid on it!